Old Man Winter Brings Opportunity
It occurred to me over the weekend that you just don't see any good business news anywhere you look. It is all doom and gloom. Third quarter results are coming in and they're dismal at best. It seems as though the perfect economic storm has come together and every sector is down. Some say that it is this generation's Depression. But, there has to be good news somewhere. Some products have to be on an upswing. Every economy, whether good or bad, brings opportunity. You just have to look for it; so I went looking.
I didn't have to look very far, because while watching a myriad
of sporting events this past weekend you couldn't help but see
advertising from Husqvarna. Husqvarna is a Finnish company that
makes an outstanding line of power equipment. They are heavily
promoting their chainsaws. For all of you who have often wondered
how to pronounce their name, here is the phonetic pronunciation -
husk-var-na. The ads direct you to a great web site/micro site with
the vanity url "Master Your Great Outdoors." They've tapped into a
market need. Based on economic necessity and the high cost of home
heating, it appears that many of us are getting back to the great
outdoors. As I was working outside this weekend, I heard that
unmistakable sound of chainsaws throughout the day. There is money
being saved with each chainsaw roar!!
In doing some checking, both locally and regionally in the
Northeast, the average cost for a cord of wood is up between $40 to
$60. This is a substantial increase over '07, but maybe not as high
as what homeowners might expect to see in increased fuel oil prices
this winter. That trusty old sage, the Farmer's Almanac, is
predicting an extremely cold winter this year. Could it be that
many are going back to their ancestral roots and starting to cut
down trees to heat their homes? There are some compelling
statistics which indicate that people are looking for alternative
ways to heat their homes. According to the National Barbeque and
Patio Furniture Association (yes, there is an association for
everyone), sales of wood stoves are up by 54%. The subcategory of
pellet stoves is going through the roof. Wooden pellets are a lot
easier to use and not as messy as traditional split wood.
Everyday we read about more jobs being cut, but Harman Stoves (one
of the leading brands in the category) based in Halifax,
Pennsylvania, is adding more than 100 jobs to keep up with
skyrocketing demand for its pellet stoves in an area where all
other factories are downsizing. It proves a point that there is
always opportunity in any economy, if you look for it.
Like Husqvarna, Stihl, the German power equipment manufacturer is
also spending a great deal of money advertising chainsaws. It is
ironic that both brands have about a 40% market share and neither
is sold in the big box home centers. In fact, Stihl has
considerable disdain for home centers. They proudly trumpet in
their ads the fact that you'll never find a Stihl piece of power
equipment sold in a big box. Right now that has to be making their
8,000 dealers happy as they're seeing customers coming in through
Stihl's pull efforts. It makes you wonder how the other brands that
comprise the 20% can tap into this market phenomenon. What is
interesting to note is that the majority of the other brands are
either sub-brands or wholly owned subsidiaries of both Stihl and
Husqvarna. Really, those two brands have a lock on the
business.
All the stove manufacturers also sell through an independent
dealer network. They have the same "protect the dealer" philosophy
as Husqvarna and Stihl. Calls around to any local stove dealers
will tell you there's a backorder on stoves, oftentimes - six
months waiting time!! It reminds me of the early eighties when fuel
prices were out of sight and many people were shifting to burning
kerosene in their homes. There was a manufacturer here in
Connecticut called Kero-Sun that did gangbuster business for a 2 to
4 year period. It was an account that many agencies yearned for. By
the late eighties, people shunned kerosene heating as an unhealthy
and unsafe way of keeping warm. Kero-Sun went to the brand
graveyard. It was the ultimate brand fad. The interesting thing
about the stoves of today is that they offer a far more compelling
product from the images that you conjure up of the wood stoves of
20 years ago. They are far more aesthetic, with interesting design
elements and burn more efficiently. No more getting up in the
middle of the night to add wood. Pellets have revolutionized the
category, as well. It's cleaner and more efficient. Perhaps there's
a trip to a wood stove dealer in your future. There is a dazzling
array of brands and choices in the wood and pellet stove
space.
A perfect economic storm has essentially cratered our overall
economy. The coming together of high fuel oil prices and the
prospect of a hard upcoming winter has created a perfect storm of
opportunity for the likes of Husqvarna, Stihl, a myriad of stove
manufacturers and those who cut and sell wood for a living. This
chilly October morning looks as though it's the forbearer of a
long, cold and dark winter. Stay warm, no matter how you do it.
These brands will be more than happy to help you keep warm.
